FOREX DAILY TRADING SIGNALS

FOREX DAILY TRADING SIGNALS
FOREX DAILY TRADING SIGNALS

Forex Broker (Free $25 Bonus Sign Up)

Sunday, March 15, 2009

16TH MARCH, 2009, TIME TO BUY THE EURUSD


IT'S TIME TO BUY THE EURUSD: WHY?

Reason why you may consider buying the EURUSD for now is that prices in the weekly chart seems to be forming a double bottom and the price is now heading up from the region of the double bottom in the weekly chart. If this is so, buy EURUSD from the weekly chart and aim for immediate support at 1.4000. If this is taken out, another support to expect here is the 1.6000

FOREX SIGNAL FOR EURUSD, 16TH MARCH 2009

What I hope now is that from the analysis available to me. The EURUSD pair is heading up for the moment. 

Number one reason to this fact is that prices in the daily chart had broken outside, upwards the support of an expanding resistance triangle and the RSI here is trading above 50. If this single reason works out, buy EURUSD and aim for immediate support at 1.3000

My second reason for this fact is that prices in the weekly chart seems to be forming a double bottom and the price is now heading up from the region of the double bottom in the weekly chart. If this is so, buy EURUSD from the weekly chart and aim for immediate support at 1.4000. If this is taken out, another support to expect here is the 1.6000

The third reason for believing in a bulluish EURUSD is that the monthly chart is indicating a bullish divergence and this means that prices are supposed to be bullish/going up for the whole of this month. And then, the RSI in the 4 hour chart is trading above 50. Thus, aim for buy opportunities for this pair.

WHICH CURRENCY PAIR DO I TRADE?

Which Currency Pair(s) Should I Choose To Trade?

Which Currency Pair(s) Should I Choose To Trade?


There are many currency pairs to choose from but which pairs should you trade? In my opinion, the currency pair(s) you choose to trade should be based on your trading style and trading experience. 

Three main types of currency pairs are: 
•   The Majors Pairs: (mostly traded) EUR/USD, USD/JPY, USD/CHF and GBP/USD. 
•   The Commodity Pairs: (associate with gold and oil) USD/CAD, AUD/USD and NZD/USD. 
•   The Currency Crosses: (non-USD pairs) most popular are EUR/GBP, EUR/JPY and EUR/CHF.

Here is the list of major currencies beginner traders should focus on:
Euro (EUR)
US Dollar (USD)
British Pound (GBP)
Swiss Franc (CHF)
Japanese Yen (JPY)
Australian Dollar (AUD)
Canadian Dollar (CAD)

Here are some tips on why you should choose certain pairs: 
•   Are you US dollar bullish or bearish? Choose a major currency pair to trade against the dollar. 
•   Trade a commodity pair if you like to focus on Gold or Oil prices. 
•   Are you new to Forex? Start trading a less volatile pair such as the EUR/USD or EUR/GBP. 
•   Focus on one currency pair only and try to learn everything about it. Become an expert! 
•   Avoid the GBP/USD and GBP/JPY when you are afraid to lose 100 pips in 15 min, learn how to trade them first.
What are the Best Currency Pairs to Trade?

If you're new to Forex trading, you'll know that there is a lot to learn, and one of the decisions you are faced with is knowing which currency pairs to trade. Should you concentrate on one or two or should you be prepared to trade any number of different currencies? Well, different traders will have different opinions on this and the truth is that there is no right or wrong answer. Every trader is different and will have their own style of trading, and this may incorporate focusing just on one currency, such as the EUR/USD for example, or may involve watching a number of pairs and waiting for a good set-up to occur on any one of them. 

An alternative approach, and one favored by myself, is to only concentrate on one of the major currency pairs. This is because they are the most widely traded, which means that with so many traders and financial institutions watching and trading them, they conform even better to technical analysis, which after all is effectively a means of displaying human behavior. Another reason I favour only trading one of the major currencies is because they generally have the tightest spreads which is important because over time, these higher spreads can really make a dent in your profits, and if you're a short term trader or scalper, they can make trading extremely difficult. 

For example if you trade the EUR/USD you will generally be looking at a 2 or 3 point spread whereas if you trade one of the minor pairs such as the EUR/CAD for instance, you could be looking at a 8 or 10 point spread. 


You can be successful trading Just One Pair
Many Traders are successful trading just one pair. The advantages of trading one pair include getting to know how one currency pair moves better, less to concentrate on when trading, which in turn leads to less distraction. One great example of a trader who is successful trading only the GBP/JPY is NickB at the Forex 4 Noobs website. By only trading the GBP/JPY using his scalping strategy, he has averaged over 100 pips profit every week for a year. I really like his site and love to use his trading for newbies as a simplistic approach to becoming successful.
Many traders do not like to trade one pair because their trading style doesn’t get them into trades as frequently enough as they would like and they feel like they are missing out on the action. I call these people over traders and most of them will not be successful at all in the long run. I personally like to only trade one pair when I am trading with my system.
Also, a common mistake done by many beginner traders is that they try to monitor too many currency pairs at once. Not only it makes trading hectic and more difficult to manage, it also prevents deeper analysis of the currency pairs and actually learning their “behaviour” over the time. Currency pairs do have their unique ways to move, react to economical events or news, form trends etc. By studying one currency pair at the time, Forex traders have the ability to observe its behavior and learn the ways to trade the pair even more effectively. 

As a method therefore, I will suggest you should be trading:
USDCAD if you live in Canada.
AUDUSD if you live in Australia
USDJPY if you live in East Asia
GBPUSD if you live in UK
EURUSD if you live in European Union
And then trade any of the USD pairs if you live in USA. (etc) 
If you live in Nigeria, you should be trading the EURUSD pair

The reason why I’ve suggested the above is that trading the currency that you are familiar with has lots of advantages vs. trading currencies that you’ve never used. For instance, a person that lives in Canada remembers approximate range of CAD vs. USD during the past ten years or more and has much better understand of those currencies than average person from Japan. 

Saturday, March 14, 2009

Which Timeframe Should I Trade?

Which Timeframe Should I Trade?

 

One of the main reasons traders don’t do well as they should is because they’re usually trading the wrong timeframe for their personality. New traders will want to learn how to get rich quick so they’ll start trading small timeframes like the 1-minute or 5-minute charts. Then they end up getting frustrated when they trade because it’s the wrong timeframe for their personality. 

Let me begin here by telling you a story: 

 

Finally after a long period of timeframe unfaithfulness, we felt we were most comfortable trading the 1-hour charts. This timeframe is longer, but not too long, and trade signals were fewer, but not too few. We now have more time to analyze the market and didn’t feel rushed anymore. On the other hand, we have a friend who could never, ever, trade in a 1-hour timeframe. It would be way too slow for him and he’d probably think he was going to rot and die before he could get in a trade. He prefers trading a 15-minute chart. It still gives him enough time (but not too much) to make decisions based on his trading plan. Another buddy of ours can’t figure out how we can trade a 1-hour chart because he thinks it’s too fast! He trades only daily, weekly, and monthly charts. 

Okay, so you’re probably asking what the right timeframe is for you. Well, buddy, if you had been paying attention, it depends on your personality. You have to feel comfortable with the timeframe you’re trading in. 

You’ll always feel some kind of pressure or sense of frustration when you’re in a trade because real money is involved. But you shouldn’t feel that the reason for the pressure is because things are happening so fast that you find it difficult to make decisions or so slowly that you get frustrated. When we first started trading, we couldn’t stick to a timeframe. We started with the 15-minute chart. Then the 5-minute chart. Then we tried the 1-hour chart, the daily chart, and 4-hour chart. 

Trading Timeframes Are Usually Categorized Into Three Types:

1.   Long-term 

2.   Medium-term or swing 

3.   Short-term or Intraday or Day-trading 

 

Which one is better? It depends on You....

You have to decide what the correct timeframe is for YOU. You also have to consider the amount of capital you have to trade. Shorter timeframes allows you to make better use of margin and have tighter stop losses. Larger timeframes require a bigger account so you can handle the market swings without facing a margin call.

When you finally decide on your preferred timeframe is when the fun begins. This is when you start looking at multiple timeframes to help you analyze the market.

 

 

Long or Short?   

 

If you ever look at a currency pair on different timeframes, you probably noticed that markets can move in different directions at the same time. A moving average may rise on a weekly chart, giving a buy signal, but fall on a daily chart, giving a sell signal. It may rally on an hourly chart, telling us to go long, but sink on a 15 minute chart, telling us to go short. What the hell is going on? All of the charts were showing the same date and time. They were just different timeframes. 

We used to just trade off 15-minute charts and that was it. We could never understand why when everything looked good the market would suddenly stall or reverse. It never crossed our minds to take a look at a larger time frame to see what was happening. When the market did stall or reverse on my 15-minute chart, it was often because it had hit support or resistance on a larger time frame. 

It took me a couple of hundred bucks to learn that the larger the timeframe, the more important support and resistance levels were. Do you see now the importance of looking at multiple timeframes? Trading using multiple time frames has probably made us more money than any other one thing alone. It will allow you to stay in a trade longer because you’re able to identify where you are relative to the big picture. 

Most beginners look at only one timeframe. They grab a single timeframe, apply their indicators and ignore other timeframes. The problem is that a new trend, coming from another timeframe, often hurts traders who don’t look at the big picture. 

 

The procedure is for you to select your preferred timeframe and then go up to the next higher timeframe. There you make a strategic decision to go long or short based on the direction of the trend. You would then return to your preferred timeframe to make tactical decisions about where to enter and exit (place stop and profit target). Adding the dimension of time to your analysis gives you an edge over the other tunnel vision traders who trade off on only one timeframe. 

There is obviously a limit to how many timeframes you can study. You don’t want a screen full of charts telling you different things. Use at least two, but not more than three timeframes because adding more will just confuse the geewillikers out of you and you’ll suffer from paralysis analysis and go crazy. 

We like to use three time frames. The largest time frame we consider our main trend, the next time frame down as my medium trend and the smallest time frame as the short-term trend and our trading chart. 

You can use any time frame you like as long as there is enough time difference between them to see a difference in their movement. You might use: 

•   1 minute, 5 minute, and 30 minute 

•   5 minute, 30 minute, and 4 hour 

•   15 minute, 1 hour, and 4 hour 

•   1 hour, 4 hour, and daily 

•   4 hour, daily, and weekly and so on. 

 

When you’re trying to decide how much time in between charts, just make sure there is enough difference for the smaller time frame to move back and forth without every move reflecting in the larger time frame. If the timeframes are too close, you won’t be able to tell the difference, which would be pretty useless.

Friday, March 13, 2009

FOREX SIGNAL FOR USDCHF, 13TH MARCH, 2009

USDCHF just broke under the support expanding triangle after it had been a consolidation. Sell this currency now @ 1.852 and take profit at 1.1790

Good trading